Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] fell -17.09% so far this year. What now?


Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [NYSE: ABR] price plunged by -8.22 percent to reach at -$1.36. The company report on August 2, 2022 that Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Announces Pricing of Upsized Offering of $250 Million of 7.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2025.

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Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: ABR) today announced the pricing of its upsized offering of $250 million aggregate principal amount of its 7.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2025 (the “Notes”) in a private placement to qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The aggregate principal amount of the offering was increased from the previously announced offering of $200 million aggregate principal amount of Notes. The sale of the Notes to the initial purchasers is expected to settle on or about August 5, 2022, subject to customary closing conditions. The Company also granted the initial purchasers of the Notes a 13-day option to purchase up to an additional $37.5 million aggregate principal amount of the Notes on the same terms and conditions.

The Notes will be senior, unsecured obligations of the Company and will bear interest at a rate equal to 7.50% per year, payable semiannually in arrears on February 1 and August 1 of each year, beginning on February 1, 2023 and will mature on August 1, 2025, unless earlier converted or repurchased. The Company will not have the right to redeem the Notes prior to maturity. The Notes will be convertible, subject to certain conditions, into cash, shares of the Company’s common stock or a combination thereof, at the Company’s sole election. The conversion rate will initially equal 59.8480 shares of the Company’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of Notes, which is equivalent to an initial conversion price of approximately $16.71 per share of common stock, representing an approximate 10.00% conversion premium based on the closing price of the Company’s common stock of $15.19 per share on August 2, 2022.

A sum of 9115994 shares traded at recent session while its average daily volume was at 2.68M shares. Arbor Realty Trust Inc. shares reached a high of $16.27 and dropped to a low of $15.1414 until finishing in the latest session at $15.19.

The one-year ABR stock forecast points to a potential upside of 21.62. The average equity rating for ABR stock is currently 2.20, trading closer to a bullish pattern in the stock market.

Guru’s Opinion on Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]:

Based on careful and fact-backed analyses by Wall Street experts, the current consensus on the target price for ABR shares is $19.38 per share. Analysis on target price and performance of stocks is usually carefully studied by market experts, and the current Wall Street consensus on ABR stock is a recommendation set at 2.20. This rating represents a strong Buy recommendation, on the scale from 1 to 5, where 5 would mean strong sell, 4 represents Sell, 3 is Hold, and 2 indicates Buy.

Piper Sandler have made an estimate for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. shares, keeping their opinion on the stock as Overweight, with their previous recommendation back on April 25, 2022. While these analysts kept the previous recommendation, Wolfe Research raised their target price to Outperform. The new note on the price target was released on November 06, 2020, representing the official price target for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. stock. Previously, the target price had yet another raise from $9 to $9.50, while JP Morgan kept a Overweight rating on ABR stock.

The Average True Range (ATR) for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. is set at 0.50, with the Price to Sales ratio for ABR stock in the period of the last 12 months amounting to 2.72. The Price to Book ratio for the last quarter was 1.16, with the Price to Cash per share for the same quarter was set at 2.29. Price to Free Cash Flow for ABR in the course of the last twelve months was 7.44.

ABR Stock Performance Analysis:

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] fell into the red zone at the end of the last week, falling into a negative trend and dropping by -2.69. With this latest performance, ABR shares gained by 12.77% in over the last four-week period, additionally sinking by -13.25% over the last 6 months – not to mention a drop of -16.22% in the past year of trading.

Overbought and oversold stocks can be easily traced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI), where an RSI result of over 70 would be overbought, and any rate below 30 would indicate oversold conditions. An RSI rate of 50 would represent a neutral market momentum. The current RSI for ABR stock in for the last two-week period is set at 52.33, with the RSI for the last a single of trading hit 49.18, and the three-weeks RSI is set at 51.82 for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]. The present Moving Average for the last 50 days of trading for this stock 14.73, while it was recorded at 16.13 for the last single week of trading, and 17.09 for the last 200 days.

Insight into Arbor Realty Trust Inc. Fundamentals:

Operating Margin for any stock indicates how profitable investing would be, and Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] shares currently have an operating margin of +75.95 and a Gross Margin at +99.05. Arbor Realty Trust Inc.’s Net Margin is presently recorded at +40.65.

Return on Equity for this stock inclined to 18.04, with Return on Assets sitting at 2.98.


The progress of the company may be observed through the prism of EPS growth rate, while Wall Street analysts are focusing on predicting the 5-year EPS growth rate for ABR. When it comes to the mentioned value, analysts are expecting to see the 5-year EPS growth rate for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. go to 8.00%.

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] Insider Position Details

There are presently around $985 million, or 43.40% of ABR stock, in the hands of institutional investors. The top three institutional holders of ABR stocks are: BLACKROCK INC. with ownership of 14,882,642, which is approximately 1.688% of the company’s market cap and around 2.00% of the total institutional ownership; VANGUARD GROUP INC, holding 9,436,190 shares of the stock with an approximate value of $143.34 million in ABR stocks shares; and STATE STREET CORP, currently with $43.89 million in ABR stock with ownership of nearly 6.422% of the company’s market capitalization.

140 institutional holders increased their position in Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [NYSE:ABR] by around 9,877,995 shares. Additionally, 118 investors decreased positions by around 6,709,232 shares, while 50 investors held positions by with 48,237,351 shares. The mentioned changes placed institutional holdings at 64,824,578 shares, according to the latest SEC report filing. ABR stock had 40 new institutional investments in for a total of 4,159,017 shares, while 33 institutional investors sold positions of 1,408,769 shares during the same period.