ZTO Express [Cayman] Inc. [ZTO] Revenue clocked in at $4.78 billion, down -9.00% YTD: What’s Next?



ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. [NYSE: ZTO] price plunged by -0.85 percent to reach at -$0.22. The company report on March 16, 2022 that ZTO Reports Fourth Quarter 2021 and Fiscal Year 2021 Unaudited Financial Results.

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22.3 Billion Annual Parcels Increased Market Share to 20.6%Adjusted Net Income Reached RMB4.9 Billion while Price Competition Cooled US$0.25 per Share Dividend Announced for 2021.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE: ZTO and SEHK: 2057), a leading and fast-growing express delivery company in China (“ZTO” or the “Company”), today announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2021[1]. The Company grew parcel volume 5.3 billion, or 31.1%, for 2021 while achieving high customer satisfaction as well as earnings growth. Cash generated from operating activities totaled RMB7.2 billion for the year.

A sum of 3878358 shares traded at recent session while its average daily volume was at 3.10M shares. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. shares reached a high of $26.06 and dropped to a low of $25.34 until finishing in the latest session at $25.68.

The one-year ZTO stock forecast points to a potential upside of 30.89. The average equity rating for ZTO stock is currently 1.70, trading closer to a bullish pattern in the stock market.

Guru’s Opinion on ZTO Express [Cayman] Inc. [ZTO]:

Based on careful and fact-backed analyses by Wall Street experts, the current consensus on the target price for ZTO shares is $37.16 per share. Analysis on target price and performance of stocks is usually carefully studied by market experts, and the current Wall Street consensus on ZTO stock is a recommendation set at 1.70. This rating represents a strong Buy recommendation, on the scale from 1 to 5, where 5 would mean strong sell, 4 represents Sell, 3 is Hold, and 2 indicates Buy.

Macquarie have made an estimate for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. shares, keeping their opinion on the stock as Outperform, with their previous recommendation back on November 18, 2021. While these analysts kept the previous recommendation, BofA Securities raised their target price from $31 to $36. The new note on the price target was released on November 18, 2021, representing the official price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. stock. Previously, the target price had yet another raise to $44, while Goldman analysts kept a Neutral rating on ZTO stock.

The Average True Range (ATR) for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is set at 1.86, with the Price to Sales ratio for ZTO stock in the period of the last 12 months amounting to 4.90. The Price to Book ratio for the last quarter was 2.72, with the Price to Cash per share for the same quarter was set at 2.17. Price to Free Cash Flow for ZTO in the course of the last twelve months was 20.62 with Quick ratio for the last quarter at 1.40.

ZTO Stock Performance Analysis:

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. [ZTO] fell into the red zone at the end of the last week, falling into a negative trend and dropping by -2.58. With this latest performance, ZTO shares dropped by -13.18% in over the last four-week period, additionally sinking by -16.27% over the last 6 months – not to mention a drop of -11.15% in the past year of trading.

Overbought and oversold stocks can be easily traced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI), where an RSI result of over 70 would be overbought, and any rate below 30 would indicate oversold conditions. An RSI rate of 50 would represent a neutral market momentum. The current RSI for ZTO stock in for the last two-week period is set at 47.04, with the RSI for the last a single of trading hit 48.83, and the three-weeks RSI is set at 46.30 for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. [ZTO]. The present Moving Average for the last 50 days of trading for this stock 28.02, while it was recorded at 25.61 for the last single week of trading, and 29.02 for the last 200 days.

Insight into ZTO Express [Cayman] Inc. Fundamentals:

Operating Margin for any stock indicates how profitable investing would be, and ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. [ZTO] shares currently have an operating margin of +15.50 and a Gross Margin at +21.67. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.’s Net Margin is presently recorded at +15.64.

Return on Total Capital for ZTO is now 8.98, given the latest momentum, and Return on Invested Capital for the company is 9.64. Return on Equity for this stock inclined to 9.75, with Return on Assets sitting at 7.80. When it comes to the capital structure of this company, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. [ZTO] has a Total Debt to Total Equity ratio set at 9.13. Additionally, ZTO Total Debt to Total Capital is recorded at 8.37, with Total Debt to Total Assets ending up at 7.07. Long-Term Debt to Equity for the company is recorded at 1.14, with the Long-Term Debt to Total Capital now at 1.05.

Receivables Turnover for the company is 11.60 with a Total Asset Turnover recorded at a value of 0.50.ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.’s liquidity data is similarly interesting compelling, with a Quick Ratio of 1.40 and a Current Ratio set at 1.40.


The progress of the company may be observed through the prism of EPS growth rate, while Wall Street analysts are focusing on predicting the 5-year EPS growth rate for ZTO. When it comes to the mentioned value, analysts are expecting to see the 5-year EPS growth rate for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. go to 20.30%.

ZTO Express [Cayman] Inc. [ZTO] Insider Position Details

There are presently around $5,708 million, or 27.80% of ZTO stock, in the hands of institutional investors. The top three institutional holders of ZTO stocks are: INVESCO LTD. with ownership of 29,194,383, which is approximately -9.391% of the company’s market cap and around 0.69% of the total institutional ownership; BLACKROCK INC., holding 19,726,984 shares of the stock with an approximate value of $510.93 million in ZTO stocks shares; and PLATINUM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD, currently with $386.06 million in ZTO stock with ownership of nearly -6.054% of the company’s market capitalization.

Positions in ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. stocks held by institutional investors increased at the end of March and at the time of the March reporting period, where 143 institutional holders increased their position in ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. [NYSE:ZTO] by around 28,639,005 shares. Additionally, 94 investors decreased positions by around 30,802,334 shares, while 28 investors held positions by with 160,932,004 shares. The mentioned changes placed institutional holdings at 220,373,343 shares, according to the latest SEC report filing. ZTO stock had 58 new institutional investments in for a total of 9,378,106 shares, while 18 institutional investors sold positions of 15,029,254 shares during the same period.