Friday, January 22, 2021

Noble Capital Markets lifts The GEO Group Inc. [GEO] price estimate. Who else is bullish?

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The GEO Group Inc. [NYSE: GEO] traded at a low on 11/18/20, posting a -1.47 loss after which it closed the day’ session at $9.39. The company report on November 6, 2020 that MGIC Investment & Halozyme Therapeutics Set to Join S&P MidCap 400; First Bancorp, The Geo Group & Mednax to Join S&P SmallCap 600.

S&P Dow Jones Indices will make the following changes to the S&P MidCap 400 and SmallCap 600 effective prior to the opening of trading on Friday, November 13:.


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First Bancorp (NASD:FBNC) will replace AMAG Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASD:AMAG) in the S&P SmallCap 600. Covis Group is acquiring AMAG Pharmaceuticals in a deal expected to be completed soon pending final conditions.

The results of the trading session contributed to over 2392464 shares changing hands. Over the past one week, the price volatility of The GEO Group Inc. stands at 4.82% while the volatility over the past one month is 6.71%.

The market cap for GEO stock reached $1.08 billion, with 119.83 million shares outstanding and 117.22 million shares in the current float. Compared to the average trading volume of 2.64M shares, GEO reached a trading volume of 2392464 in the most recent trading day, which is why market watchdogs consider the stock to be active.

What do top market gurus say about The GEO Group Inc. [GEO]?

Noble Capital Markets have made an estimate for The GEO Group Inc. shares, keeping their opinion on the stock as Outperform, with their previous recommendation back on June 29, 2020. The new note on the price target was released on February 15, 2019, representing the official price target for The GEO Group Inc. stock. Previously, the target price had yet another raise to $35, while JP Morgan analysts kept a Overweight rating on GEO stock. On March 08, 2017, analysts decreased their price target for GEO shares from 52 to 50.

The Average True Range (ATR) for The GEO Group Inc. is set at 0.54, with the Price to Sales ratio for GEO stock in the period of the last 12 months amounting to 0.45. The Price to Book ratio for the last quarter was 1.21, with the Price to Cash per share for the same quarter was set at 0.47. Price to Free Cash Flow for GEO in the course of the last twelve months was 35.24 with Quick ratio for the last quarter at 1.20.

How has GEO stock performed recently?

The GEO Group Inc. [GEO] gain into the green zone at the end of the last week, gaining into a positive trend and gaining by 4.33. With this latest performance, GEO shares dropped by -7.12% in over the last four-week period, additionally sinking by -16.31% over the last 6 months – not to mention a drop of -35.24% in the past year of trading.

Overbought and oversold stocks can be easily traced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI), where an RSI result of over 70 would be overbought, and any rate below 30 would indicate oversold conditions. An RSI rate of 50 would represent a neutral market momentum. The current RSI for GEO stock in for the last two-week period is set at 50.62, with the RSI for the last a single of trading hit 54.68, and the three-weeks RSI is set at 47.76 for The GEO Group Inc. [GEO]. The present Moving Average for the last 50 days of trading for this stock 10.17, while it was recorded at 9.16 for the last single week of trading, and 11.93 for the last 200 days.

The GEO Group Inc. [GEO]: Deeper insight into the fundamentals

Operating Margin for any stock indicates how profitable investing would be, and The GEO Group Inc. [GEO] shares currently have an operating margin of +6.03 and a Gross Margin at +19.63. The GEO Group Inc.’s Net Margin is presently recorded at +6.72.

Return on Total Capital for GEO is now 3.90, given the latest momentum, and Return on Invested Capital for the company is 4.58. Return on Equity for this stock inclined to 16.36, with Return on Assets sitting at 3.89. When it comes to the capital structure of this company, The GEO Group Inc. [GEO] has a Total Debt to Total Equity ratio set at 287.73. Additionally, GEO Total Debt to Total Capital is recorded at 74.21, with Total Debt to Total Assets ending up at 66.43. Long-Term Debt to Equity for the company is recorded at 282.67, with the Long-Term Debt to Total Capital now at 72.90.

Reflecting on the efficiency of the workforce at the company, The GEO Group Inc. [GEO] managed to generate an average of $7,573 per employee. Receivables Turnover for the company is 3.03 with a Total Asset Turnover recorded at a value of 0.58.The GEO Group Inc.’s liquidity data is similarly interesting compelling, with a Quick Ratio of 1.20 and a Current Ratio set at 1.20.

Earnings analysis for The GEO Group Inc. [GEO]

With the latest financial reports released by the company, The GEO Group Inc. posted 0.28/share EPS, while the average EPS was predicted by analysts to be reported at 0.33/share. When compared, the two values demonstrate that the company fail the estimates by a Surprise Factor of -15.20%. The progress of the company may be observed through the prism of EPS growth rate, while Wall Street analysts are focusing on predicting the 5-year EPS growth rate for GEO. When it comes to the mentioned value, analysts are expecting to see the 5-year EPS growth rate for The GEO Group Inc. go to 15.00%.

Insider trade positions for The GEO Group Inc. [GEO]

There are presently around $738 million, or 69.40% of GEO stock, in the hands of institutional investors. The top three institutional holders of GEO stocks are: VANGUARD GROUP INC with ownership of 18,847,629, which is approximately -1.813% of the company’s market cap and around 0.40% of the total institutional ownership; BLACKROCK INC., holding 13,197,651 shares of the stock with an approximate value of $123.93 million in GEO stocks shares; and STATE STREET CORP, currently with $35.63 million in GEO stock with ownership of nearly -5.373% of the company’s market capitalization.

Positions in The GEO Group Inc. stocks held by institutional investors increased at the end of October and at the time of the October reporting period, where 100 institutional holders increased their position in The GEO Group Inc. [NYSE:GEO] by around 8,034,737 shares. Additionally, 122 investors decreased positions by around 12,565,400 shares, while 38 investors held positions by with 58,011,629 shares. The mentioned changes placed institutional holdings at 78,611,766 shares, according to the latest SEC report filing. GEO stock had 30 new institutional investments in for a total of 2,366,097 shares, while 40 institutional investors sold positions of 989,129 shares during the same period.

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