Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] fell -21.11% so far this year. What now?

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Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [NYSE: ABR] closed the day’ session at $11.32. The company report on July 31, 2020 that Arbor Realty Trust Reports Second Quarter 2020 Results and Increases Quarterly Dividend to $0.31 per Share.

Company Highlights:.

– GAAP net income of $0.40 and core earnings of $0.46 per diluted common share1- Raised cash dividend on common stock to $0.31 per share, a 7% increase from 2Q19- Generated pretax income of $20.9 million from our residential mortgage banking joint venture- Strong liquidity position currently at approximately $450 million.

The results of the trading session contributed to over 1073800 shares changing hands. Over the past one week, the price volatility of Arbor Realty Trust Inc. stands at 4.67% while the volatility over the past one month is 3.62%.

The market cap for ABR stock reached $1.27 billion, with 110.75 million shares outstanding and 105.43 million shares in the current float. Compared to the average trading volume of 1.95M shares, ABR reached a trading volume of 1073800 in the most recent trading day, which is why market watchdogs consider the stock to be active.

What do top market gurus say about Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]?

Based on careful and fact-backed analyses by Wall Street experts, the current consensus on the target price for ABR shares is $11.40 per share. Analysis on target price and performance of stocks is usually carefully studied by market experts, and the current Wall Street consensus on ABR stock is a recommendation set at 2.40. This rating represents a strong Buy recommendation, on the scale from 1 to 5, where 5 would mean strong sell, 4 represents Sell, 3 is Hold, and 2 indicates Buy.

JP Morgan have made an estimate for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. shares, keeping their opinion on the stock as Overweight, with their previous recommendation back on July 28, 2020. The new note on the price target was released on January 29, 2020, representing the official price target for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. stock. Previously, the target price had yet another raise to $14.50, while Raymond James analysts kept a Outperform rating on ABR stock.

The Average True Range (ATR) for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. is set at 0.43, with the Price to Sales ratio for ABR stock in the period of the last 12 months amounting to 2.41. The Price to Book ratio for the last quarter was 1.23, with the Price to Cash per share for the same quarter was set at 3.43. Price to Free Cash Flow for ABR in the course of the last twelve months was 4.32.

How has ABR stock performed recently?

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] fell into the red zone at the end of the last week, falling into a negative trend and dropping by 0.00. With this latest performance, ABR shares dropped by -0.70% in over the last four-week period, additionally plugging by 3.66% over the last 6 months – not to mention a drop of -9.15% in the past year of trading.

Overbought and oversold stocks can be easily traced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI), where an RSI result of over 70 would be overbought, and any rate below 30 would indicate oversold conditions. An RSI rate of 50 would represent a neutral market momentum. The current RSI for ABR stock in for the last two-week period is set at 61.75, with the RSI for the last a single of trading hit 54.71, and the three-weeks RSI is set at 59.47 for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]. The present Moving Average for the last 50 days of trading for this stock 10.06, while it was recorded at 11.33 for the last single week of trading, and 10.61 for the last 200 days.

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]: Deeper insight into the fundamentals

Operating Margin for any stock indicates how profitable investing would be, and Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] shares currently have an operating margin of +34.72 and a Gross Margin at +96.77. Arbor Realty Trust Inc.’s Net Margin is presently recorded at +23.44.

Return on Total Capital for ABR is now 3.62, given the latest momentum, and Return on Invested Capital for the company is 3.39. Return on Equity for this stock inclined to 12.37, with Return on Assets sitting at 2.37. When it comes to the capital structure of this company, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] has a Total Debt to Total Equity ratio set at 397.95. Additionally, ABR Total Debt to Total Capital is recorded at 79.92, with Total Debt to Total Assets ending up at 75.56. Long-Term Debt to Equity for the company is recorded at 271.85, with the Long-Term Debt to Total Capital now at 50.47.

Reflecting on the efficiency of the workforce at the company, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR] managed to generate an average of $241,782 per employee. Receivables Turnover for the company is 91.93 with a Total Asset Turnover recorded at a value of 0.10.

Earnings analysis for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]

With the latest financial reports released by the company, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. posted 0.35/share EPS, while the average EPS was predicted by analysts to be reported at 0.33/share. When compared, the two values demonstrate that the company surpassed the estimates by a Surprise Factor of 6.10%. The progress of the company may be observed through the prism of EPS growth rate, while Wall Street analysts are focusing on predicting the 5-year EPS growth rate for ABR. When it comes to the mentioned value, analysts are expecting to see the 5-year EPS growth rate for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. go to 8.00%.

Insider trade positions for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [ABR]

There are presently around $524 million, or 45.40% of ABR stock, in the hands of institutional investors. The top three institutional holders of ABR stocks are: BLACKROCK INC. with ownership of 9,122,243, which is approximately 344.714% of the company’s market cap and around 3.20% of the total institutional ownership; VANGUARD GROUP INC, holding 5,067,779 shares of the stock with an approximate value of $57.37 million in ABR stocks shares; and WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP, currently with $35.29 million in ABR stock with ownership of nearly 94.664% of the company’s market capitalization.

Positions in Arbor Realty Trust Inc. stocks held by institutional investors increased at the end of July and at the time of the July reporting period, where 89 institutional holders increased their position in Arbor Realty Trust Inc. [NYSE:ABR] by around 18,767,178 shares. Additionally, 86 investors decreased positions by around 10,718,103 shares, while 32 investors held positions by with 16,841,742 shares. The mentioned changes placed institutional holdings at 46,327,023 shares, according to the latest SEC report filing. ABR stock had 38 new institutional investments in for a total of 2,032,538 shares, while 35 institutional investors sold positions of 4,445,707 shares during the same period.

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