Market Analysts see Triumph Group Inc. [TGI] falling to $8. Time to buy?

Triumph Group Inc. [NYSE: TGI] surged by $0.57 during the normal trading session on Monday and reaching a high of $7.27 during the day while it closed the day at $7.26. The company report on August 20, 2020 that Triumph Mechanical Controls Selected For Water Tank Systems On A321XLR.

Triumph Group [NYSE:TGI] announced that its Triumph Systems & Support business unit has been awarded a contract from Diehl Aviation for the supply of mechanical controls for the Airbus A321XLR. The indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity (ID/IQ) award includes the service panel lever and cable controls for the waste-water tank on the aircraft.

“This win underscores the successful program and delivery performance we have provided to Diehl Aviation over the years. We are pleased to continue our partnership with two key products on the A321XLR,” said Ian Reason, President of Triumph Systems & Support – Mechanical Solutions. “This agreement is evidence that Triumph offers competitive mechanical control solutions for the civil aviation market, which are backed by strong technical expertise and close collaboration with the customer.”.

Triumph Group Inc. stock has also gained 1.11% of its value over the past 7 days. However, TGI stock has inclined by 15.97% in the 3 months of the year. Over the past six months meanwhile, it has lost -65.33% and lost -71.27% year-on date.

The market cap for TGI stock reached $392.77 million, with 51.86 million shares outstanding and 51.21 million shares in the current float. Compared to the average trading volume of 2.51M shares, TGI reached a trading volume of 1488852 in the most recent trading day, which is why market watchdogs consider the stock to be active.

Here’s what leading stock market gurus have to say about Triumph Group Inc. [TGI]:

Based on careful and fact-backed analyses by Wall Street experts, the current consensus on the target price for TGI shares is $7.45 per share. Analysis on target price and performance of stocks is usually carefully studied by market experts, and the current Wall Street consensus on TGI stock is a recommendation set at 3.30. This rating represents a strong Buy recommendation, on the scale from 1 to 5, where 5 would mean strong sell, 4 represents Sell, 3 is Hold, and 2 indicates Buy.

JP Morgan have made an estimate for Triumph Group Inc. shares, keeping their opinion on the stock as Underweight, with their previous recommendation back on August 12, 2020. The new note on the price target was released on July 15, 2020, representing the official price target for Triumph Group Inc. stock. On August 23, 2019, analysts decreased their price target for TGI shares from 23 to 20.

The Average True Range (ATR) for Triumph Group Inc. is set at 0.56, with the Price to Sales ratio for TGI stock in the period of the last 12 months amounting to 0.15.

TGI stock trade performance evaluation

Triumph Group Inc. [TGI] gain into the green zone at the end of the last week, gaining into a positive trend and gaining by 1.11. With this latest performance, TGI shares dropped by -2.29% in over the last four-week period, additionally sinking by -65.33% over the last 6 months – not to mention a drop of -65.82% in the past year of trading.

Overbought and oversold stocks can be easily traced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI), where an RSI result of over 70 would be overbought, and any rate below 30 would indicate oversold conditions. An RSI rate of 50 would represent a neutral market momentum. The current RSI for TGI stock in for the last two-week period is set at 48.23, with the RSI for the last a single of trading hit 50.11, and the three-weeks RSI is set at 47.61 for Triumph Group Inc. [TGI]. The present Moving Average for the last 50 days of trading for this stock 8.06, while it was recorded at 6.98 for the last single week of trading, and 14.56 for the last 200 days.

Triumph Group Inc. [TGI]: An insightful look at the core fundamentals

Operating Margin for any stock indicates how profitable investing would be, and Triumph Group Inc. [TGI] shares currently have an operating margin of +6.79 and a Gross Margin at +15.67. Triumph Group Inc.’s Net Margin is presently recorded at -0.97.

Return on Total Capital for TGI is now 19.61, given the latest momentum, and Return on Invested Capital for the company is -2.84. Additionally, TGI Total Debt to Total Capital is recorded at 171.41, with Total Debt to Total Assets ending up at 59.69.

Reflecting on the efficiency of the workforce at the company, Triumph Group Inc. [TGI] managed to generate an average of -$2,816 per employee. Receivables Turnover for the company is 4.45 with a Total Asset Turnover recorded at a value of 0.97.Triumph Group Inc.’s liquidity data is similarly interesting compelling, with a Quick Ratio of 0.90 and a Current Ratio set at 1.50.

Earnings per share (EPS) analysis for Triumph Group Inc. [TGI] stock

With the latest financial reports released by the company, Triumph Group Inc. posted 0.64/share EPS, while the average EPS was predicted by analysts to be reported at 0.6/share. When compared, the two values demonstrate that the company surpassed the estimates by a Surprise Factor of 6.70%. The progress of the company may be observed through the prism of EPS growth rate, while Wall Street analysts are focusing on predicting the 5-year EPS growth rate for TGI. When it comes to the mentioned value, analysts are expecting to see the 5-year EPS growth rate for Triumph Group Inc. go to -11.44%.

Triumph Group Inc. [TGI]: Insider Ownership positions

There are presently around $324 million, or 86.90% of TGI stock, in the hands of institutional investors. The top three institutional holders of TGI stocks are: BLACKROCK INC. with ownership of 7,330,349, which is approximately -4.02% of the company’s market cap and around 1.30% of the total institutional ownership; PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/, holding 7,188,086 shares of the stock with an approximate value of $52.19 million in TGI stocks shares; and VANGUARD GROUP INC, currently with $40.18 million in TGI stock with ownership of nearly -10.657% of the company’s market capitalization.

Positions in Triumph Group Inc. stocks held by institutional investors increased at the end of August and at the time of the August reporting period, where 101 institutional holders increased their position in Triumph Group Inc. [NYSE:TGI] by around 5,535,781 shares. Additionally, 83 investors decreased positions by around 12,364,797 shares, while 18 investors held positions by with 26,724,512 shares. The mentioned changes placed institutional holdings at 44,625,090 shares, according to the latest SEC report filing. TGI stock had 32 new institutional investments in for a total of 770,246 shares, while 41 institutional investors sold positions of 2,943,469 shares during the same period.

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